Chart Share from Rick Kubina. November 23, 1999 (updated 11/26/99, 12/28/99)
Chart Ancestry: Rick -->Steve Graf-->John Cooper--> Og
Charts produced by Steve Graf's templates (using Statview). After I made them I simply imported them to Word. Very easy and something I recommend to others who want a quick, efficient way to produce show charts. (When received by Ian, exported from Word into an HTML file. Then take the img#.gif into Adobe PhotoShop and crop, etc. Then exported into a CompuServ.GIF file, using Adaptive colors 16. Makes a smaller file that will work on older browsers.)
 This monthly chart shows the frequency of the total number of posts generated each month on the SClistserv. The list began in June of 1997. I save every message posted to the list and at the end of the month I count
the number of posts (regardless of content) people submit to the list.

The monthly posts show an overall x1.3 celeration with a x2.2 up-bounce and a x2.2 down-bounce (total bounce equals 4.8). If this trend continues in the year 2002 we will have months where list members receive 500 messages. The up-bounce would suggest some months will see as much 900 messages! Looking at the data points for the past year, however, the celeration line appears lower, about x1.1. November's result, 352 posts, is a new record, happening in the same month as the Precision Teaching Conference.

 This monthly chart shows the total number of members on the Clistserv. The list began in June of 1997. Each month I execute a command "Review
SClistserv," which tells me the current subscribers to the list.

The number of members show an overall x1.1 celeration with a x1.0 total bounce. The trends show a steady, gradual growth. Again, a recent analysis of the number of people joining in the last year shows an even lower celeration, x1.05. November again shows a record high of 139 members.

Both of these charts offer some interesting predictions. Also, both charts lead me to speculate. Perhaps the number of posts in the past year has leveled off somewhat because the number of list members has remained relatively stable? Maybe a relationship exists between the number of monthly posts generated and the number of members. More specifically, when the posts reach a very high frequency perhaps some members drop off the list because of the volume? I offer these as just speculations and would
enjoy reading others' comment on the data presented in this chart share.

Rick Kubina, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Clarion University of Pennsylvania
Special Education and
Rehabilitative Sciences
840 Wood Street
Clarion, PA 16214

Office: (814) 226-2257
Fax: (814) 226-1951
Home: (814) 223-9308
email: RKubina@clarion.edu

We will add comments as they are posted to the List Server, or to Rick, or to this web site.